This past weekend was a standard example of how quickly the weather can change here in Missouri. That has many wondering what the upcoming winter season will bring. Click to hear KMZU’s Kristie Cross talk to Professor of Atmospheric Science at the University of Missouri-Columbia Tony Lupo:
According to Lupo, conditions may not change as much as some would like. “My view is that I think it’s going to be on the warm side of normal just a little bit, as well as the dry side of normal,” said Lupo,”People may feel like it’s colder than last year, since last winter was so much warmer than normal.”
With things remaining on the dry side, Lupo said ground conditions will not greatly improve. “Unfortunately, with the precipitation being below normal, we’re not going to get a chance to recharge the soil profile like we could and that will be a shame,” said Lupo,” I do predict a little more snow than we had last year, but again, slightly less than normal.”
In consideration of these predictions, the outlook may be drab for some time to come. “If we don’t get that moisture and spring is still dry, we could head into a double-header next year in terms of the dry conditions,” said Lupo,” There is still a lot of time between now and then, so hopefully we will get that rain.”
There does some to be some reasoning behind our current weather patterns. “Last year, we had La Nina conditions which are a dice throw basically as to whether we will get warmer or colder conditions,” said Lupo,” This year we got a very weak El Nino in place and that tends to be correlated to warmer than normal conditions.”
As for snow days, there may be very few this winter season. Lupo is predicting 15 inches of snow for the region which falls 5 inches below normal.